Pena Deportiva 1-1 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.83/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.98
+75% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
224 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sabadell
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-0 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
1-1
AWAY Sabadell
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 38
1 Shots on Target 15
0 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva and Sabadell shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 39% of the ball to Sabadell's 61%, shots finished 3-38.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Sabadell?

Pena Deportiva 1-1 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 34%, draw 28%, Sabadell 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabadell), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabadell) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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