Salamanca 1-3 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.59
Over
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.88
+14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salamanca
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Pontevedra
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-1 HT 1-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
08.05.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-1 HT 1-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
19.12.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 1-2 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
14.02.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 1-3 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
22.11.2020 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-0 HT 0-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
18.06.2005 Pontevedra Pontevedra 4-1 HT 2-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
1-3
AWAY Pontevedra
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra beat Salamanca 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salamanca had 50% of the ball to Pontevedra's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontevedra led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Salamanca and 2.50 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Pontevedra?

Salamanca 1-3 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 29%, draw 27%, Pontevedra 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
13 Apr 2025
12:00 Mostoles vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
12:30 Subiza vs Deportivo Alaves II Analysis →
12:30 Getafe II vs Melilla Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
13:00 Deportiva Minera vs Xerez Deportivo Analysis →
13:00 Villanovense vs Linense Analysis →