Pontevedra 3-1 Salamanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.62
Over
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Salamanca EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.99/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.97
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Salamanca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-1 HT 1-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
19.12.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 1-2 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
14.02.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 1-3 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
22.11.2020 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-0 HT 0-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
18.06.2005 Pontevedra Pontevedra 4-1 HT 2-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS2
23.01.2005 Salamanca Salamanca 2-0 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
3-1
AWAY Salamanca
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Salamanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra got the better of Salamanca 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 63% of the ball to Salamanca's 37%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pontevedra and 1.00 for Salamanca.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Salamanca?

Pontevedra 3-1 Salamanca in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Salamanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 48%, draw 25%, Salamanca 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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