Teruel 4-0 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.59
Over
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Teruel win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teruel EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +24%
1.89/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.71
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teruel
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alfaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Alfaro Alfaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Teruel Teruel İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teruel
4-0
AWAY Alfaro
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Teruel vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teruel cruised past Alfaro 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Teruel as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Teruel had 61% of the ball to Alfaro's 39%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Teruel vs Alfaro?

Teruel 4-0 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teruel vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teruel win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Teruel 55%, draw 24%, Alfaro 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teruel), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teruel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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