Alfaro vs Teruel Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfaro v Teruel — Team-Based Signals
Alfaro 0-1 Teruel — Actual Match Statistics
Teruel nicked a narrow win over Alfaro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Teruel found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alfaro had 48% of the ball to Teruel's 52%, shots finished 8-6.
What was the final score of Alfaro vs Teruel?
Alfaro 0-1 Teruel in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Teruel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Teruel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 30%, draw 30%, Teruel 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teruel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.