13/04/2025
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Union Sur Yaiza vs Real Madrid III Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
30%
Draw
27%
36%
Away Win
35%
56%
Under 2.5
53%
44%
Over 2.5
47%
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
49%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Sur Yaiza v Real Madrid III — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Union Sur Yaiza
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Real Madrid III
EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-25% /
-25%
0.97/1.16
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.47/1.00
-20%
/
-16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-56%
/
+2%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
378 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
339 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.6
Union Sur Yaiza vs Real Madrid III Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Union Sur Yaiza
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Real Madrid III
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
59%
Ball Possession
41%
20
Total Shots
17
7
Shots on Target
7
7
Corners
3
4
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Union Sur Yaiza vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Real Madrid III beat Union Sur Yaiza 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid III found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Real Madrid III?
Union Sur Yaiza 0-2 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Real Madrid III?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 34%, draw 30%, Real Madrid III 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid III), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Real Madrid III)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
13 Apr 2025