Napoli (K) 0-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.26/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.76
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
12.0 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.35 xG 1.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
158 Passes 298
56% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
07.12.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
20.09.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
03.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
0-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.10 xG 0.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
289 Passes 214
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) edged past Napoli (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 56% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Napoli (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sassuolo (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Napoli (K) and 1.75 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Napoli (K) 0-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 26%, draw 26%, Sassuolo (K) 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
13 Apr 2025
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