Borussia Dortmund II 4-1 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.15
Over
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.28
2-3
42%
1.92
4-5
22%
3.11
6+
11%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.99
1/2
7%
24.65
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
17%
6.31
X/2
19%
5.65
X/X
13%
5.3
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
3.36
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · X/2 at 5.65 — our 19% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.47/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.23
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 21.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
203 Passes 363
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 36
6 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 3-3 HT 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
09.05.2015 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-3 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
07.11.2014 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
4-1
AWAY Energie Cottbus
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
300 Passes 435
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II swept aside Energie Cottbus 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Borussia Dortmund II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 43% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 57%, shots finished 15-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.00 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Energie Cottbus?

Borussia Dortmund II 4-1 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 35%, draw 27%, Energie Cottbus 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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