Viktoria Köln 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.95
Over Pick
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.63
2-3
40%
1.86
4-5
23%
3.46
6+
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.69
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
6%
6.74
X/2
18%
5.14
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
22%
3.09
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.53/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.76
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.2 Crosses 23.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
332 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
03.02.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
03.09.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
0-2
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
348 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld got the better of Viktoria Köln 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 56% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 44%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.00 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Viktoria Köln 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 31%, draw 24%, Arminia Bielefeld 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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