Barracas Central 1-0 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.65
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.62
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
13%
6.65
X/2
14%
4.77
X/X
14%
3.48
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.38
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +7%
1.11/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.05
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.4 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.39 xG 1.29
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
194 Passes 346
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2024 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
18.07.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
11.06.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
21.02.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
23.11.2021 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.61 xG 0.44
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
185 Passes 319
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
3 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central edged past Atletico Tigre 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Barracas Central made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Barracas Central had 38% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 62%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.61 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Barracas Central and 0.80 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Atletico Tigre?

Barracas Central 1-0 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 32%, draw 30%, Atletico Tigre 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Tigre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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