Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

Gimnasia La Plata
1-1 HT 1-0
Estudiantes
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.74
6+ Goals
10%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.8
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
9%
5.96
X/2
13%
5.2
X/X
15%
3.41
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.9
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimnasia La Plata v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.17/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.94
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.6 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
199 Passes 259
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 4-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
26.02.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.10.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
19.03.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
05.06.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
20.03.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.71 xG 2.24
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
162 Passes 348
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 25
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata and Estudiantes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 37% of the ball to Estudiantes's 63%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.71 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.17 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 37%, draw 30%, Estudiantes 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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