Belgrano Cordoba 1-3 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.05
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
15%
6.38
X/2
14%
5.0
X/X
14%
3.76
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
12%
3.47
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.22
+47% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.6 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.25 xG 1.91
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
198 Passes 406
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
04.03.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-2 HT 0-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
11.10.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 4-3 HT 4-2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
15.05.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
11.02.2019 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
30.10.2017 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-0 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1-3
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.17 xG 1.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors beat Belgrano Cordoba 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Boca Juniors made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 42% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 58%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.17 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 2.17 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?

Belgrano Cordoba 1-3 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 36%, draw 30%, Boca Juniors 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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