Brisbane Roar (K) 4-4 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 13 Apr 2025

Brisbane Roar (K)
4-4 HT 2-1
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Brisbane Roar (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.31/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.74
-6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.0 Crosses 11.3
0.4 Yellow Cards 0.7

Brisbane Roar (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.10 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.02.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
27.01.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
17.12.2023 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
28.11.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
20.12.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

Brisbane Roar (K) 4-4 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
4-4
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
3.28 xG 2.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
25 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
268 Passes 435
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) and W. Sydney Wanderers (K) shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 41% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 59%, shots finished 25-16, expected goals 3.28 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.33 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 4-4 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 48%, draw 27%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 24%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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