Velez Mostar 3-2 Radnik Bijeljina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.77/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.54
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSK
29.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
24.08.2024 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 4-3 HT 2-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
15.04.2022 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
31.10.2021 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
08.08.2021 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar squeezed past Radnik Bijeljina 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.50 for Radnik Bijeljina.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Velez Mostar 3-2 Radnik Bijeljina in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 50%, draw 29%, Radnik Bijeljina 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
13 Apr 2025
14:00 Sloga Doboj vs Igman Konjic Analysis →