Velez Mostar 2-1 Radnik Bijeljina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
1.82/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.11
+1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 4-3 HT 2-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
15.04.2022 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
31.10.2021 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
08.08.2021 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
20.03.2021 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-2 HT 1-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
27.02.2021 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar squeezed past Radnik Bijeljina 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnik Bijeljina led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.50 for Radnik Bijeljina.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Velez Mostar 2-1 Radnik Bijeljina in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 54%, draw 27%, Radnik Bijeljina 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
29 Nov 2024
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