FK Sarajevo 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.75/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.78
-39% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
24.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 HT 3-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.12.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
16.09.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
26.02.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-2 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
04.09.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 4-1 HT 3-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar nicked a narrow win over FK Sarajevo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Zrinjski Mostar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 2.17 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar?

FK Sarajevo 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 37%, draw 33%, Zrinjski Mostar 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
29 Nov 2024
22:15 Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina Analysis →