Arda Kardzhali 5-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.80/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.50
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-2 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
09.12.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
11.08.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
29.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
14.05.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
5-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali cruised past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 52% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 48%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.33 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Arda Kardzhali 5-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 50%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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