Levski Sofia 1-2 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
38%
3.35
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.7pp
38%
Draw
26%
+11.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.09/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.96
+36% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +63%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
03.11.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 2-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
12.05.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
13.04.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-1 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
22.10.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
26.05.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-2
AWAY Cherno More Varna
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna squeezed past Levski Sofia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 38% / 20% — and on the day Cherno More Varna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 58% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 42%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Levski Sofia and 1.17 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

Levski Sofia 1-2 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 42%, draw 38%, Cherno More Varna 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
13 Apr 2025
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