VVV-Venlo 4-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.48
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.59
X/2
14%
6.2
X/X
15%
4.89
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
4.07
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.43/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.46
-19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.8 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
373 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.03.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.10.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-4 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
05.05.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
06.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
14.03.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-3 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
4-1
AWAY Helmond Sport
3.72 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
282 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo ran out comfortable winners over Helmond Sport 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day VVV-Venlo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 51% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 49%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 3.72 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.67 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Helmond Sport?

VVV-Venlo 4-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 36%, draw 30%, Helmond Sport 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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