Kagoshima United 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Apr 2025

Kagoshima United
1-1 HT 1-1
Azul Claro Numazu
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Azul Claro Numazu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +7%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.74
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 13.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1

Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
16.07.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-0 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
03.09.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
05.06.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
23.10.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 3-1 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
13.06.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-2 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3

Kagoshima United 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
197 Passes 245
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United and Azul Claro Numazu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kagoshima United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 48% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 52%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kagoshima United and 0.50 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Kagoshima United 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 50%, draw 23%, Azul Claro Numazu 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kagoshima United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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