Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.42/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.12
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
231 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
14.04.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 4-3 HT 3-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
30.09.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-2 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
11.06.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-1
AWAY Ryukyu
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
376 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano and Ryukyu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 53% of the ball to Ryukyu's 47%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ryukyu led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 2.25 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Ryukyu?

Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 40%, draw 28%, Ryukyu 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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