Sagamihara 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.01/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.99
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -68%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-2D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 4-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JLK
07.11.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
07.03.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
19% Ball Possession 81%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
89 Passes 618
49% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara and ThespaKusatsu Gunma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sagamihara had 19% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 81%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sagamihara and 1.67 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Sagamihara 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 39%, draw 28%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sagamihara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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