JFK Ventspils 1-1 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

JFK Ventspils
1-1
Ogre United
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.23
Over 2.5
40%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.0pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JFK Ventspils v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 61%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.84/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.44
+102% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
242 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ogre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Ogre United 3-2 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
19.05.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-0 HT 1-0 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils and Ogre United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ogre United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 1.50 for Ogre United.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United?

JFK Ventspils 1-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 26%, draw 23%, Ogre United 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ogre United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ogre United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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