Ogre United 3-2 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.9pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.50/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-59% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.05.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-0 HT 1-0 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United squeezed past JFK Ventspils 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was JFK Ventspils at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils?

Ogre United 3-2 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated an JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 31%, draw 19%, JFK Ventspils 50%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JFK Ventspils) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
21 Sep 2024
14:00 Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine Analysis →
16:00 Skanste vs Leevon / PPK Analysis →