21/09/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Skanste vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
33%
Draw
27%
33%
Away Win
31%
54%
Under 2.5
48%
46%
Over 2.5
52%
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
47%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Skanste v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Skanste
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leevon / PPK
EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
1.13/0.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.32/1.32
-37%
/
+146%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-74%
/
+41%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
359 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
312 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Skanste vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Skanste
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Leevon / PPK
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Skanste vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Skanste swept aside Leevon / PPK 3-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Skanste made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Skanste vs Leevon / PPK?
Skanste 3-0 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Skanste vs Leevon / PPK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Skanste 34%, draw 33%, Leevon / PPK 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Skanste)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Sep 2024