Kozarmisleny 1-0 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.19/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.33
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozarmisleny
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Ajka
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 1-0 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
21.04.2024 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
22.10.2023 Ajka Ajka 0-3 HT 0-2 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
05.02.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
14.08.2022 Ajka Ajka 4-2 HT 2-2 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozarmisleny
1-0
AWAY Ajka
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kozarmisleny vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozarmisleny squeezed past Ajka 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Kozarmisleny made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kozarmisleny had 51% of the ball to Ajka's 49%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Kozarmisleny and 1.20 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Kozarmisleny vs Ajka?

Kozarmisleny 1-0 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozarmisleny vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozarmisleny win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kozarmisleny 38%, draw 27%, Ajka 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kozarmisleny) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kozarmisleny) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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