Balzan FC 3-1 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
-28% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Melita
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2025 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Melita MALTP
08.12.2024 Melita 1-0 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
20.10.2024 Melita 2-0 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
3-1
AWAY Melita
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC beat Melita 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Balzan FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balzan FC had 50% of the ball to Melita's 50%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melita led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Balzan FC and 1.33 for Melita.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Melita?

Balzan FC 3-1 Melita in the MALTP on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 40%, draw 31%, Melita 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Balzan FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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