Melita 1-0 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.9
Over 2.5
36%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.73
No
62%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
49%
+14.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
51%
-14.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
54%
-15.9pp
62%
BTTS No
46%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.38
-100% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melita
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Melita 2-0 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
1-0
AWAY Balzan FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melita vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melita squeezed past Balzan FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Balzan FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Melita had 42% of the ball to Balzan FC's 58%, shots finished 5-3.

What was the final score of Melita vs Balzan FC?

Melita 1-0 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Melita 33%, draw 25%, Balzan FC 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Balzan FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
8 Dec 2024
15:30 Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk FC Analysis →
17:00 Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans Analysis →
18:00 Naxxar Lions vs Zabbar St. Patrick Analysis →