Floriana 1-2 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.37/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.74
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
06.01.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
04.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
01.10.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
30.04.2022 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
30.01.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
1-2
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
63% Ball Possession 37%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans squeezed past Floriana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hamrun Spartans found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Floriana had 63% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 37%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Floriana and 1.17 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans?

Floriana 1-2 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Floriana 37%, draw 30%, Hamrun Spartans 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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