Naxxar Lions 0-3 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-3 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-3
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick ran out comfortable winners over Naxxar Lions 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zabbar St. Patrick as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 54% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 46%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Naxxar Lions 0-3 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 25%, draw 29%, Zabbar St. Patrick 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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