Monarcas Morelia 2-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.57/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.57
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
4 Corners 6
26.10.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
15.03.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
20.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
02.03.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
23.09.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
19.02.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 4-1 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
FAQ Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Monarcas Morelia edged past Cancun FC 2-1 in the Mexico - Primera A on 13 Apr 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.33 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Monarcas Morelia 2-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 52%, draw 24%, Cancun FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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