Celaya vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celaya v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals
Celaya vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
0-3
HT 0-1
Celaya
MEK2
1-0
HT 1-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Celaya 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celaya at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Celaya and 0.17 for Leones Negros Udeg.
What was the final score of Celaya vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Celaya 2-3 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celaya vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celaya 57%, draw 20%, Leones Negros Udeg 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celaya) went the other way.