Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Oct 2024

Leones Negros Udeg
1-1 HT 1-1
Celaya
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leones Negros Udeg v Celaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.22/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celaya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
15.03.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
03.11.2023 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
06.05.2023 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
03.05.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-3 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
26.01.2023 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
05.10.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-2 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and Celaya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leones Negros Udeg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.17 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 41%, draw 30%, Celaya 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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