Dorados De Sinaloa 4-0 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.6pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.34/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.06
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.02.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
31.07.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-4 HT 0-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
22.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
20.07.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa ran out comfortable winners over CA La Paz 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dorados De Sinaloa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.50 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs CA La Paz?

Dorados De Sinaloa 4-0 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 54%, draw 20%, CA La Paz 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✓ Over 2.5
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