Tlaxcala 1-1 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Oct 2024

Tlaxcala
1-1 HT 0-0
Venados
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒04:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tlaxcala vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v Venados — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.26/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.09
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Venados
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
22.02.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
22.07.2023 Venados Venados 3-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.04.2023 Tlaxcala 2-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
15.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
05.10.2022 Venados Venados 3-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
29.01.2022 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala and Venados shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tlaxcala at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.17 for Venados.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Venados?

Tlaxcala 1-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 43%, draw 27%, Venados 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tlaxcala), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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