CA La Paz 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Feb 2024

CA La Paz
1-0 HT 1-0
Dorados De Sinaloa
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
53%
+8.6pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.4pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CA La Paz v Dorados De Sinaloa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
2.30/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
+35% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
31.07.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-4 HT 0-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
22.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
20.07.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz edged past Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA La Paz as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CA La Paz and 1.67 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

CA La Paz 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 62%, draw 18%, Dorados De Sinaloa 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA La Paz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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