23/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Juarez U23 vs Monterrey U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
17%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juarez U23 v Monterrey U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Juarez U23
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Monterrey U23
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-34% /
-34%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-3%
/
-29%
63%
Ball Possession
37%
15
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
2
457 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Juarez U23 vs Monterrey U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Juarez U23 cruised past Monterrey U23 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juarez U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Juarez U23 vs Monterrey U23?
Juarez U23 3-0 Monterrey U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juarez U23 vs Monterrey U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juarez U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Juarez U23 45%, draw 17%, Monterrey U23 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juarez U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Juarez U23)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
23 Feb 2024