Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
2.24/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
+46% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12.10.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-4 HT 1-3 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
13.03.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-3 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
01.08.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
11.04.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
16.09.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
05.03.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over CD Tapatio 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.33 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 41%, draw 28%, CD Tapatio 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
23 Feb 2024
06:05 CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa Analysis →
19:00 Estudiantes Tecos vs Tritons Vallarta Analysis →
20:00 Juarez U23 vs Monterrey U23 Analysis →