Estudiantes Tecos 2-3 Tritons Vallarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Tecos EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tritons Vallarta EU Bookmakers 23%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Tecos vs Tritons Vallarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tritons Vallarta squeezed past Estudiantes Tecos 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Estudiantes Tecos at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Tecos vs Tritons Vallarta?

Estudiantes Tecos 2-3 Tritons Vallarta in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Tecos vs Tritons Vallarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Tecos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Tecos 55%, draw 23%, Tritons Vallarta 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Tecos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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