Khimki 1-3 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
4.48
6+ Goals
11%
22.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.48 — our 24% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.64
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
12%
6.26
X/2
13%
5.25
X/X
9%
4.03
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
11%
3.54
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -26%
1.11/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.43
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
13.0 Crosses 20.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
25.02.2024 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov HAZ
15.04.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
10.09.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
24.04.2022 Khimki Khimki 4-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
06.11.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
1-3
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.29 xG 3.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
286 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 42
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov beat Khimki 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Krylya Sovetov made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Khimki had 43% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 57%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 1.29 to 3.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khimki and 0.67 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Krylya Sovetov?

Khimki 1-3 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Khimki 39%, draw 25%, Krylya Sovetov 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khimki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khimki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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