Muğlaspor 1-0 Kelkit Hürriyet SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muğlaspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelkit Hürriyet SK EU Bookmakers 15%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.12
-22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +92%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muğlaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kelkit Hürriyet SK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.12.2024 Kelkit Hürriyet SK Kelkit Hürriyet SK 2-1 Muğlaspor Muğlaspor S3-2
POST-MATCH Muğlaspor vs Kelkit Hürriyet SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muğlaspor edged past Kelkit Hürriyet SK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Muğlaspor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Muğlaspor vs Kelkit Hürriyet SK?

Muğlaspor 1-0 Kelkit Hürriyet SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muğlaspor vs Kelkit Hürriyet SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muğlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Muğlaspor 51%, draw 27%, Kelkit Hürriyet SK 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muğlaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muğlaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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