Alta 3-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
Crosses 18.3
Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
3-2
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.30 xG 1.74
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
421 Passes 132
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alta vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta nicked a narrow win over Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Alta had 68% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 32%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.30 to 1.74 — on chances, Chattanooga Red Wolves could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Alta vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Alta 3-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alta 47%, draw 27%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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