Metropolitanos 0-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

Metropolitanos
0-1 HT 0-1
UCV
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Venezuela - Premier League – 2025

Metropolitanos vs UCV Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.5pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metropolitanos v UCV — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.24/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.15
+23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.5 Crosses 19.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Metropolitanos vs UCV Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UCV
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 1.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 194
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.07.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
19.05.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 5-2 HT 2-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.02.2024 UCV UCV 3-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.10.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 3-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
05.02.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
15.09.2022 UCV UCV 2-3 HT 2-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN

Metropolitanos 0-1 UCV — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
0-1
AWAY UCV
1.16 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
294 Passes 232
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Metropolitanos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; UCV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 56% of the ball to UCV's 44%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.16 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.83 for UCV.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs UCV?

Metropolitanos 0-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 30%, draw 34%, UCV 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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