Nublense 1-0 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.54/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.12
-10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
20.3 Crosses 17.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.85 xG 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
242 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Nublense Nublense 2-2 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
16.02.2025 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 5-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
21.11.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİK
04.11.2024 Nublense Nublense 1-4 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
27.05.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
10.12.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-0
AWAY Universidad Chile
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 8
212 Passes 420
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense edged past Universidad Chile 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Nublense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nublense had 37% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 63%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nublense and 2.50 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Universidad Chile?

Nublense 1-0 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nublense 35%, draw 25%, Universidad Chile 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ BTTS Yes
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