Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Londrina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.6
Over
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.4
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
18%
4.37
6+
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Londrina The Market 29%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.21/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.15
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
24.9 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Londrina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
292 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 Londrina Londrina 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
09.05.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 1-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
06.11.2019 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 0-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
03.08.2019 Londrina Londrina 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
01.09.2018 Londrina Londrina 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
12.05.2018 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2-1
AWAY Londrina
2.71 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
357 Passes 331
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Londrina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense squeezed past Londrina 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Goianiense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 51% of the ball to Londrina's 49%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.71 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Goianiense's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 1.17 for Londrina.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Londrina?

Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Londrina in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Londrina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 44%, draw 31%, Londrina 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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