Sao Bernardo FC vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Bernardo FC v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Sao Bernardo FC 0-1 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza squeezed past Sao Bernardo FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fortaleza found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Bernardo FC had 49% of the ball to Fortaleza's 51%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.35 to 1.49.
What was the final score of Sao Bernardo FC vs Fortaleza?
Sao Bernardo FC 0-1 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Bernardo FC vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Bernardo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sao Bernardo FC 39%, draw 25%, Fortaleza 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.