America Mineiro vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
America Mineiro 0-3 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino ran out comfortable winners over America Mineiro 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was America Mineiro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America Mineiro had 52% of the ball to Novorizontino's 48%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.34 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for America Mineiro and 1.50 for Novorizontino.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Novorizontino?
America Mineiro 0-3 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Novorizontino?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 42%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.