Novorizontino 1-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.46
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.6pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +4%
1.21/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.07
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.5 Crosses 14.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
0W-0D-1L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
191 Passes 660
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
28.04.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY America Mineiro
0.14 xG 0.69
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
169 Passes 453
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and America Mineiro shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Novorizontino had 32% of the ball to America Mineiro's 68%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.14 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs America Mineiro?

Novorizontino 1-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 39%, draw 32%, America Mineiro 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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