Ponte Preta 1-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.4
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.30/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.16
+6% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.0 Crosses 16.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponte Preta
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Goias
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
269 Passes 409
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Goias Goias 3-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
03.11.2021 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 0-2 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
24.07.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
22.09.2018 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 1-2 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
06.06.2018 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-1 HT 1-1 Goias Goias BR2
17.09.2015 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 1-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponte Preta
1-1
AWAY Goias
1.33 xG 1.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
364 Passes 174
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ponte Preta vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponte Preta and Goias couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ponte Preta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Ponte Preta had 63% of the ball to Goias's 37%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.67 for Goias.

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Goias?

Ponte Preta 1-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 44%, draw 28%, Goias 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ponte Preta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponte Preta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
17 Aug 2024
03:00 Vila Nova vs Sport Recife Analysis →
03:30 Novorizontino vs America Mineiro Analysis →
21:30 Chapecoense vs Guarani FC Analysis →
22:00 Santos vs Avai Analysis →
23:00 Ceara vs Mirassol FC Analysis →