Ceara vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Ceara
BR2
Ceara 1-2 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics
Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over Ceara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ceara had 53% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 47%, shots finished 34-7, expected goals 2.96 to 1.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ceara.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ceara and 1.33 for Mirassol FC.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Mirassol FC?
Ceara 1-2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Mirassol FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ceara 45%, draw 31%, Mirassol FC 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.